Retirement Solutions | Investment Insight
July 24, 2022
How Alternatives Can Address Your 60/40 Portfolio Blues
Individual investors have long been told that a diversified portfolio of public equities and bonds is the key to a successful retirement plan. While that held true for a long time—the mantra is now being challenged.
Key Takeaways
- The end of a 14-year-long period of monetary expansion, a declining number of publicly traded companies, increased concentration of risk, rising correlations, stiff competition, and scarcity of opportunities for excess returns have all coalesced to diminish the opportunity set for investors in public markets.
- How can investors address this challenge? As private markets continue to grow, we believe that investors should rethink their strategic asset allocation frameworks to add or increase the use of alternatives in their portfolios to curb volatility and seek to enhance potential risk-adjusted returns.
- We define “alternatives” as simply an alternative to publicly traded stocks and bonds that seeks excess returns per unit of risk at every point along the risk-reward spectrum, from investment-grade credit to equity.
- Seen through that prism, we believe that it becomes clear that investors can explore the risk spectrum in private markets similarly to public markets. A key differentiating element is liquidity. We believe that investors who can forgo some level of liquidity stand to benefit from the opportunity in alternatives.
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Apollo believes Investment Grade Private has the potential to generate attractive risk-adjusted returns but has been overlooked because it doesn’t fit neatly into the current asset allocation framework.
Market participants often ask why large corporate borrowers would choose a private solution for financing rather than the public markets, especially in the current environment. In this paper, we answer that question and explore the lasting power of private credit, the landscape of the debt markets, potential opportunities, and pitfalls to avoid.
The US economy remains strong with no signs of a major slowdown going into 2025. We see interest rates staying higher for longer on a relative basis (regardless of the Fed’s easing campaign) as inflation remains above target, employment strong, and spending robust.
