Real Assets | Investment Insight
March 02, 2023
Infrastructure Investing: Embracing Complexity in Times of Structural Change
After a tumultuous 2022, the US economic outlook for 2023 remains cloudy. Renewed uncertainty about inflation and the Fed means markets will continue to be volatile. With that in mind, we believe that infrastructure can offer key attributes—downside protection, low correlation to markets, potential protection against inflation—for investors deploying capital today.
We believe that a nuanced infrastructure investment strategy with a disciplined, price-conscious investing mindset—purchase price matters—is more crucial than ever. We see the middle-market as the most fertile ground for opportunity, especially at a time when the large capitalization space is awash in capital.
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Investment Insight | View from Apollo
The Search for Risk Premium with Apollo Strategist Alex Wright
In a new episode of The View from Apollo podcast, Apollo Chief Economist Torsten Slok speaks with Alex Wright, Global Wealth Strategist in Apollo’s Client and Product Solutions Group, about their views on where to find attractive risk premia at a time of elevated interest rates and lofty public market valuations. This episode also tackles a top-of-mind question: Is the private credit market growing too fast?
The buoyant demand for corporate debt that propped up primary markets this year came alongside pockets of distress in the riskier parts of the market. We expect this divergence to persist through 2024. In this outlook, we’ll explore the bifurcation in the market, investment themes—from AI to elections—in opportunistic credit, the vanishing liquidity premium in investment grade debt, and the relative value of BDC’s unsecured debt.
While the Fed’s rate hikes have reigned in growth, especially among over-levered consumers, corporates, and banks, the easing of financial conditions since the “Fed pivot” in December continues to offset the effect of higher rates. For the rest of 2024, we expect economic growth to be higher than consensus and inflation to stay above the Fed’s target. We see no Fed cuts in 2024.
